ilmscore | Bond Market Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 17
Correct: 4
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 11
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted that the bond market is forming a short-term topping pattern and will likely decline further before finding a bottom.
"It looks like there's a pretty decent shot of a topping pattern in play there in the short term, whi..."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
Predicted that if the Fed signals more rate cuts, bond prices will become weaker due to expectations of stronger growth and more inflation.
"if they signal more cuts to come, given how the market's trading right now, it makes me think that w..."
Dec 5, 2025
Incorrect
The bond market indicates the US might already be in a recession.
"The bond market is telling us we actually might be in a recession already."
Sep 9, 2025
Correct
Jamie Dimon predicts a crack in the bond market.
"You are going to see a crack in the bond market. Okay? It is going to happen."
Sep 6, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve needs to reserve funds for a potential bond crisis in 2026.
"they have to leave some firepower for the upcoming bond crisis in 2026."
Sep 5, 2025
Pending
A significant downturn or 'crack' in the bond market is predicted to occur.
"You are going to see a crack in the bond market. Okay? It is going to happen."
Jun 5, 2025
Incorrect
Interest rates in the US bond market are increasing, mirroring trends seen in Japan.
"the interest rates right now in the US are going up. Not just in Japan, but also here at home."
Jun 5, 2025
Correct
The weekly spike in the 30-year interest rate was the largest since 1982.
"the move on the 30-year interest rate in the weekly move right was the highest the biggest weekly sp..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
A significant sell-off in US bonds and the dollar occurred as investors moved out of US-based assets, indicating a 'short America' sentiment.
"there was just a massive sell-off in bonds and the dollar as people were moving out of US-based asse..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
The United States is facing an imminent bond crisis that is being overlooked by most people.
"The United States is on the verge of a bond crisis that most people are completely ignoring"
Nov 14, 2023
Pending
When the Federal Reserve stops raising interest rates and eventually begins to lower them, bond prices are expected to increase.
"anytime the FED stops raising rates like they just did and like they did way back in July they haven..."
Nov 3, 2023
Pending
Global bond market losses for the year have exceeded $12.2 trillion.
"so far the year-to-date losses globally in the bond market are over 12.2 trillion dollars"
Sep 26, 2022
Pending
A specific bond ETF (BND) is down 15% year-to-date.
"so far the year-to-date bond is actually down 15"
Sep 26, 2022
Pending
A $98.25 investment in a two-year treasury bond will yield $8.24 in interest over its term.
"for every 98 dollars and 25 cents you invest at the end of that two-year period because it's a two-y..."
Sep 26, 2022
Pending
There is a 72.9% probability of another interest rate hike between 0.5% and 0.75% by November 2nd.
"now on November 2nd it shows a 72.9 chance that rates will go up again between 0.5 and 0.75 percent"
Sep 26, 2022
Pending
The global bond market experienced a loss of $1.2 trillion in one week.
"the global Bond Market has already lost 1.2 trillion dollars and that's only been in one week"
Sep 26, 2022
Pending
Bond returns are expected to increase further as interest rates rise, but the exact level is uncertain.
"with interest rates increasing even further, it's possible that bonds would offer an even higher ret..."
Sep 23, 2022
Pending